DaffStats: Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas


Bet on it, Las Vegas 

A look at the stats by Mike Daffner 

 

Please note that any opinions or statements of fact in this article do not constitute financial advice. Mike Daffner and Runnin on Scuffs are not financial brokers and accept no responsibility for any wagers placed because of this article. 

 

Good day folks! It’s your favorite stats guy here, bringing you another look at the stats.  

An interesting race at Auto Club Speedway last week, with Kyle Busch winning the first of what will likely become many race wins for Richard Childress Racing.  

Now, on to this week's race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. For this article, I will be covering the top 5 drivers stats at LVMS. Of course, because it’s Vegas, I'd be remiss if I didn’t use the current Vegas odds to bring you the stats. So, without further ado, here are your top 5 picks at Vegas: 

  1. Kyle Busch: +600 odds: 

Kyle Busch is coming off a win at Auto Club and is the current Vegas favorite to win at LVMS. In his career at the track, he boasts an impressive one win, and 11 top five finishes in 23 races. During those races, he averages a 10.8 finish, has led 311 laps, and has been running at finish 21 times, with 19 of those being on the lead lap. Could Lady Luck be on his side for two weeks in a row? 

  1. Kyle Larson: +700 odds: 

The second driver named Kyle on this list, Kyle Larson is coming off a season in which he won three races. Last year, he finished second in this very race, behind Hendrick Motorsports teammate Alex Bowman, leading 27 laps. In 13 races at LVMS in his career, he’s won one of them, finishing in the top five, five times, with an average finish of 11.2. The impressive stat here is that he’s been running at finish 12 out of 13 times. Can Lucky Larson get HMS their first win of a young season? 

  1. Ross Chastain: +800 odds: 

Fresh off a two-win season and an appearance in the Championship 4, the Alva, Fl watermelon farmer looks to strike early in 2023. Finishing 3rd at this very race last year, Ross led the most laps with 83, and won stage 2. The track has not always been kind to Ross however, as in his career nine races here, he’s been RAF all nine times, but has only finished twice on the lead lap. His average finish is 21.2, and he’s never won the event. Will the Hail Melon manage to overcome his historical adversity this weekend? 

  1. Joey Logano: +800 odds: 

Coming off a championship in 2022, Logano was mere inches away from winning the Daytona 500 this year. Last year, he won four races, including the second Vegas race of the year in the playoffs. At LVMS in his career, nobody boasts a better average finish than Joey, with 8.5. He’s been RAF in all 19 of his career attempts, finishing lead lap in 18 of them, with three wins, and 7 top five finishes. He’s also led over 10% of the laps he’s run here. Will the active leader in Vegas victories make it number 4 this weekend? 

  1. Ryan Blaney: +1000 odds: 

Young Ryan Blaney is coming off a winless season in 2022, his first such season since his first full time cup season in 2016. In 13 career races at LVMS, he’s never quite found Lady Luck, as he’s finished in the top five, five times, but never won. He has a not too shabby average finish of 12.4, with only one DNF, and has finished lead lap 9 times. That DNF was in this very race last year. Can YRB avoid being buried in the desert, and win big at Vegas? 

 

Tune in Sunday at 3:30 EST to see if one of these five drivers hits the jackpot in the Pennzoil 400. 

 

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